First 4 Picks + March Insanity Betting Methods (Ep. 1573)

First 4 Picks + March Insanity Betting Methods

The fellows (@GamblingPodcast) give out their First 4 picks on this March Insanity predictions podcast. In addition they cowl their finest March Insanity betting methods of their March Insanity commandments.

Choice Sunday has handed, and March Insanity brackets are ALMOST set. The primary 4 video games will set the official bracket and will probably be performed on March 14th and March 15th.  Keep tuned for these picks and the 10 commandments for betting on March Insanity.

March Insanity Betting Methods aka The 10 Commandments

1.      Thou shall wager all 36 first half unders.

This contains the primary 4 video games as effectively as a result of the numbers are simply ridiculous on first half unders. This has hit at an alarming fee the previous few years. A typical purpose for that is nerves since it’s the first sport and that plenty of these groups are taking part in in a distinct time zone that they aren’t used to. Additionally, groups have gotten used to taking part in their convention and now need to play a very completely different model of group.

2.      Thou shall respect steadiness groups.

The cumulative rank for groups in high within the nation in offense and protection must be below 50. Winners of the match in latest historical past have all match this mannequin besides UConn. Some groups that match this are Houston, Texas, Alabama, and UConn. Purdue is shut in addition to West Virginia and UCLA. Figuring out which groups performed a tricky schedule additionally helps. Typically, it’s higher to favor the groups that play higher protection.

3.      Thou shall fade the first-round upsets.

Huge time canine who upset an enormous group sometimes go on to lose the following sport if they’re an enormous canine once more. It’s arduous to win as a greater than 7 level canine, and it’s particularly arduous to do it twice.

4.      Thou shall ignore the seed quantity.

Everybody appears to be like on the 5/12 seed matchups to take some upsets. This 12 months has robust 5 seeds however 2019 was the one 12 months a 12 seed didn’t advance to the spherical of 32. Previously 10 years, should you took each 12 seed on the ML you’ll be up cash.

5.      Thou shall respect the play in sport.

Solely as soon as since 2011 has a group within the play-in sport didn’t attain the Remaining 4. Mississippi State and Iowa State each appeared on the fade record.

6.      Thou shall not consider in fairy tales.

Solely Four groups exterior the highest Three seeds have gained the Nationwide Championship since 1985. Only a few groups exterior the 7 seed have made it to the Remaining 4. Michigan State has a sexy path that would result in them making an enormous run.

7.      Hold holy of thy free throw proportion.

Groups who shot 77% or greater from the road have been 60-38-2 towards the unfold this 12 months. If there’s a double digit proportion capturing distinction between two groups, take the one who shoots higher.

8.      Thou shall fade main convention match winners.

Groups get drained when they’re profitable their convention match and are a excessive main. These video games finish very near the primary spherical they usually can simply be drained. Some groups who misplaced early can profit from all the additional relaxation.

9.      Thou shall not worship false idols.

Some coaches have nice data towards the unfold within the match, and a few have horrible data. Such because the TCU coach, Jamie Dixon, and Rick Barnes, the Tennessee Coach.

10.   Thou shall wager towards Invoice Self after the primary spherical of the match.

This one might be modified although since Invoice Self simply achieved a battle with loss of life and will actually rally his troops to make an enormous run to be back-to-back Nationwide Champions.

First 4 Picks:

Texas A&M Corpus Christi is -3.5 towards SEMO. Corpus Christi matches with commandment 7 as they shoot a lot better from the road than SEMO. SEMO might be using excessive from profitable their convention match as huge canine.

Pittsburgh is +1.5 towards Mississippi State. State has robust protection and poor offense however goes towards a foul protection in Pitt. In addition they rebound the ball effectively on the offensive glass however Pitt must be extra electrical within the matchup.

FDU and Texas Southern battle on Wednesday. Texas Southern is terrible at capturing threes and FDU shoots effectively from the road. FDU lacks collegiate expertise of their lineup and is perhaps bodily outmatched.

Nevada is +1.5 towards Arizona State. Nevada holds onto the ball effectively however isn’t very spectacular on offense. State has an excellent protection although however fails compared within the free throw capturing class.

Faculty Basketball Greatest Bets:

Kramer Lock: Arizona State -1.5

Kramer Canine: Texas Southern ML and Texas A&M Corpus Christi ML +175

Sean Lock: Texas A&M Corpus Christi -3.5

Sean Canine: Pitt ML

Colby Lock: Arizona State -1.5

Colby Canine: Texas Southern ML and Texas A&M Corpus Christi ML +175

First 4 Odds by way of WynnBET

Podcast Transcription